India's GDP growth for FY20 to be 6.8%: Fitch

Why is it in the news ?
  • The global credit rating provider Fitch cut India’s economic growth forecast for the next financial year starting April 1, to 6.8%.
  • It had earlier estimate the growth of 7%. However, due to the weaker than expected momentum in the economy, it cut the growth number to 6.8%.
  • It had cut India’s FY19 GDP growth forecast to 7.2% from 7.8% on December 6.
More in the news
    • The rating agency has cut growth forecasts for FY20 and FY21 to 7% from 7.3% and 7.1 per cent from 7.3%, respectively.
    • According to Fitch, the RBI, has adopted a more dovish monetary policy stance and cut interest rates by 0.25% at its February 2019 meeting, a move supported by steadily decelerating headline inflation.
    • On the fiscal side, the budget for FY20 plans to increase cash transfers for farmers.
    • Dovish monetary policy:
      (1) It means reducing the interest rates, in order to increase the money supply in the economy.
      (2) It increases the inflation and there is also possible increase in GDP growth.
      • Hawkish Monetary Policy:
        (1) Here the interest rates are increasing and reducing the money in circulation.
        (2) It reduces the inflation and possibly reduced GDP growth.
      Source
      The Hindu.




      Posted by Jawwad Kazi on 22nd Mar 2019